Big 12 Conference On Edge: Who Will Give It A Push?
Chip Brown at Orangebloods.com was the first to break the story last week and has been the leading source for developments ever since. You can head over there for all the details, but here's a recap.
School officials at Nebraska met yesterday and informally agreed to leave the Big 12 in favor of joining the Big Ten. A formal announcement is expected tomorrow. Colorado may announce as early as today that they're joining the Pac-10. Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, and Baylor are meeting today to talk about their reaction to those moves.
The most likely response is a full-scale dismantling of the Big 12 Conference. Texas would join Colorado and four other schools - A&M, Tech, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State - as part of an expanded Pac-10 conference. None of these changes would take place earlier than the 2012 season.
Regardless of the outcome, Texas remains in a favorable position. If the Big 12 manages to stay together (unlikely), Texas will continue to be one of the most successful programs on the field, along with a favorable revenue-sharing deal in place. They also can claim to have done everything they could to save the conference.
If the Big 12 implodes, Texas pins the blame on other schools and waltzes into the waiting arms of the Pac-10, taking a few select colleagues along with it to a big payday.
Baylor would likely get the short end of the deal. It's rumored that the University of California balked at taking the Bears into the Pac-10 because of their Baptist church affiliation. It would make sense that Cal would favor taking Colorado over Baylor. Berkeley has more in common with liberal Boulder than conservative Waco.
Despite the changes, things on the field won't be all that different for the Longhorns. The Big 12 South would remains almost intact as the Pac-10 East, trading Baylor for Colorado, Arizona, and Arizona State. Fans could also look forward to the occasional California road trip to play USC, UCLA, Stanford, or Cal. The Big 12 North teams would fare less well, scattering to the wind and scrambling for conference affiliations.
While the speed with which the 14-year-old Big 12 Conference has come apart has been breathtaking, there seems to be little doubt about the outcome.
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